Cognitive Science & Policy Hub // Vol. 12

Behavioral Economics Lab

The Nudge & Bias Lab — an interactive, citable directory of cognitive biases, peer-reviewed journals, and empirical nudge findings.

Nudge Examples That Worked

Do nudges work? Here are 8 real-world behavioral interventions with measured before-and-after results — from tax letters to organ-donation defaults — averaging a +23.5 percentage-point change in the target behavior.

  1. Transitioned from an 'Opt-In' policy (requiring active sign-up) to an 'Opt-Out' presumed consent policy (where citizens are registered as donors unless they explicitly request otherwise).

    Donor Consent Registration Rate: 18%99.1% (451% relative) · n = Cross-national European Comparison

  2. Allowed forecasters to slightly edit the algorithm's predictions (up to +/- 10% or +/- 5%) before submission, rather than forcing them to accept the algorithm's recommendation as-is.

    Adoption Rate of the Algorithmic Forecast: 15%88% (487% relative) · n = 3 experimental studies, 1,200 trials

  3. The UK Behavioral Insights Team added a single social norm line to payment letters: '9 out of 10 people in the UK pay their taxes on time.' To make it even more salient, they localized the norm: '9 out of 10 people in your local area pay on time.'

    Payment Rate within 23 Days: 67.5%83% (23% relative) · n = 140,000 taxpayers

  4. Simplified the layout to 3 primary options (Credit Card, PayPal, and Express Wallet) while hiding the others behind a clean, secondary 'More Payment Methods' disclosure link.

    Completed Purchase Checkout Rate: 71.2%84.8% (19% relative) · n = 45,000 sessions

  5. Implemented the 'Save More Tomorrow' (SLaT) protocol: employees commit to allocating a portion of their *future* salary raises to their retirement fund, bypassing current pocket pain.

    Average Retirement Saving Rate: 3.5%13.6% (289% relative) · n = 3 companies, 1,200 employees

  6. Opower printed a peer-comparison chart on monthly utility bills, grading energy usage against efficient neighbors and rewarding efficiency with simple emoticons (smiley faces).

    Percentage Household Energy Savings: 0.1%2.1% (2000% relative) · n = 600,000 households

  7. Radiologists were given access to an AI pathology detector displaying exact probability scores (0-100%) for critical conditions like pneumonia, but were otherwise left to make final determinations.

    Diagnostic Classification Accuracy: 82.5%79.8% (-3% relative) · n = 200 radiologists, 10,000 cases

  8. Evaluated a machine learning model designed to predict defendant flight risk and crime probabilities, compared against the historical release rates and subsequent rearrests under human judges.

    Rearrest Rate of Released Defendants: 18.2%13.7% (-25% relative) · n = 750,000 cases in New York City